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View Poll Results: Who will win Maharashtra State Assembly elections 2009?
Congress 2 8.70%
Congress + NCP 14 60.87%
BJP + Shiv Sena 7 30.43%
MNS + some independents 0 0%
MNS + NCP 0 0%
Voters: 23. You may not vote on this poll

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  #16  
Old October 2nd, 2009, 08:37 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Not much to choose from...But I still think BJP+SS over Congress
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  #17  
Old October 2nd, 2009, 12:56 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Kangress and the NCP have injected a heavy dose of casteism in the rural areas and have unleashed Raj in Mumbai. The Kangress - NCP will sweep the elections.
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  #18  
Old October 2nd, 2009, 03:13 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Quote:
Originally Posted by viking View Post
Kangress and the NCP have injected a heavy dose of casteism in the rural areas
Can you elaborate on that?
This pincer movement sounds very good, but surely whatever caste card they are playing, the other parties are equally into it?
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  #19  
Old October 5th, 2009, 05:39 PM
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Lightbulb Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Here is an interesting way to campaign - street plays!

Quote:
Some do it with 'vasudeo'

In this age of high-tech campaign, some candidates are happy to turn the clock back, relying on conventional modes of campaign, which include organising street plays, seeking blessings from spiritual leaders and even appointing a 'vasudeo'.

A street-smart leader of the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP), Nawab Malik, and a highly-educated candidate from the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS), have taken the help of street plays to 'educate' voters. Both organised plays in their respective constituencies--Anushakti Nagar and Malabar Hill--last week.

"The street play is still an effective way to pull at the heart strings of the audience," said Chetan Pednekar, an MNS worker. "The response we got for the street plays shows that people still seek someone who can connect with them directly," he said.

Shiv Sena leader Subhash Desai has appointed a vasudeo for his door-to-door campaign. In rural Maharashtra, a vasudeo is a traditional artist who visits people's homes to educate them about social evils throughfolk songs.

"As the Sena is a party which strongly advocates Marathi culture, we decided to appoint a vasudeo for campaigning. The voters welcome the vasudeo when he knocks on their doors early in the morning. It makes them feel connected with Marathi culture," a poll manager for Desai said.

Another Sena leader, Gajanan Kirtikar, too had appointed a vasudeo for campaigning during the Lok Sabha election in his Mumbai North-West constituency. But he failed to win.

The daughter of a high-tech Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader Pramod Mahajan, Poonam, recently sought blessings of a spiritual leader Narendra Maharaj. "Pramodji did not believe in spiritualism and the so-called spiritual leaders. But Poonam was driven by the compulsion to win the hearts of the spiritual leaders' lakhs of followers," a BJP worker said.

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  #20  
Old October 6th, 2009, 05:02 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

whats the date for election in Pune? kam se kam chutti to milegi us din
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  #21  
Old October 6th, 2009, 05:14 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Leaders take potshots at each other


As far as calling names goes, campaigning for the October 13 Maharashtra Assembly elections seems to have reached a new low, with key players in state political arena calling rivals names, including those of animals.

Chief minister Ashok Chavan called MNS chief Raj Thackeray a 'frog' during a press conference in his hometown Nanded recently.

"Raj Thackeray and other opponents are like frogs which appear on ground during the monsoon and start croaking," Chavan said.

Chavan is the latest in the long line of leaders who have used colourful language to deride opponents, the most visible practitioners of this 'art' being estranged Thackeray cousins.

Shiv Sena executive president Uddhav Thackeray equated Raj to a "contractor working on commission for the Congress-NCP combine".

Raj responded, saying Uddhav was like "aitya bilawar nagoba" (a Marathi phrase, meaning a snake always claims a readymade home instead of toiling for it), a reference to the Sena's leadership passed on to Uddhav by his father Bal Thackeray.

Uddhav riled Raj for criticizing the Sena-BJP alliance but keeping mum when it concerned Congress-NCP combine "for fear that he would be put into a cage like a rat (as Raj was but behind the bars)" if he dared attack the ruling front.

Not to be left behind, the 83-year senior Thackeray earlier termed nephew Raj as "Jinnah of Maharashtra, who was out to divide Marathi people at the behest of Congress."

Alluding to Raj, Uddhav said the MNS chief was not a superman but a 'supariman'. The term 'supari' is an underworld slang for a contract killing. "He has taken 'supari' on behalf of Congress-NCP," Uddhav said.

Senior Congress leader Vilasrao Deshmukh took potshots at the verbal duel between the Thackeray cousins, saying "the duo is so much immersed in their fight that they do not have time for people's problems and Marathi people feel suffocated as a result."

MNS leader Shirish Parkar launched a personal attack on former Union minister Ram Naik of BJP, saying the latter was medically unfit and needed blood transfusions regularly.

Naik vehemently denied the charge, saying "I have never in my life needed transfusion. I am older than Parkar but much more fit than him."

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/h...ow/5092808.cms

Last edited by ashdoc; October 6th, 2009 at 05:28 AM.
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  #22  
Old October 6th, 2009, 05:33 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

No doubt congress and its allies.. bjp is soft and unappealing as yesterday's bhujjia and shivsena is like stale misal pav
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  #23  
Old October 7th, 2009, 11:30 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Whole of Maharashtra state to close down on Oct 13


How do you combat voter apathy? The Maharashtra government has an original idea: shut down the state so that people, for want of anything better to do, will line up and ink their finger.

On polling day, October 13, the state will witness an unprecedented closure of shops, malls, multiplexes, offices, commercial establishments, residential hotels, restaurants, theatres and industrial establishments so that citizens can go out and exercise their franchise. Essential services like the police, fire brigade, press and continuous process industries are exempted.

Mumbai has a particularly bad record when it comes to voting. The 2009 Lok Sabha polls saw 41.24% Mumbaikars queuing up to vote; the figure was only a shade better, but still less than 50%, in the last assembly polls in 2004.

Acting on the advice of the Election Commission, state labour commissioner Arvind Kumar issued orders on October 1 to the above-mentioned establishments to give their employees a holiday on October 13. The labour commissionerate has formed 28 special squads to keep an eye on offices, and employers failing to comply with the order could face arrest under Section 135-B of the Representation of People Act (1951). The labour commissioner’s circular adds that the Election Commission has noticed that certain employers do not give staffers a day off to vote.

The particularly bad turnout — a little over 40% — this Lok Sabha poll seems to have come as a wake-up call for the government. Suburban collector Vishwas Patil had then said that a slew of holidays around April 30 had prompted many Mumbaikars to leave town, which resulted in the low turnout.

The labour commissioner will keep the chief electoral officer and the police posted about offices that do not give employees a day off. A control room (numbers: 23515969, 23521122) will be set up in the labour commissionerate, manned by two assistant labour commissioners and two labour officers to receive complaints from voters.

The initiative has received a mixed response. Citispace convener Neera Punj said, “This is a good incentive for people to come out and vote. But at the same time, one must remember that you can lead the horse to the pond but you can’t make it drink. I’m really curious to see whether people come out in large numbers and vote.’’ Atria Mall director Bhupesh Jain said there was nothing wrong in the shutdown. “We must respect democracy. Even those who own shops have to vote,’’ he said.

State chief election officer Debashish Chakrabarty said there was always a provision in law to give employees a paid holiday on polling day but it was never enforced strictly.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/i...ow/5095673.cms

Last edited by ashdoc; October 7th, 2009 at 11:32 AM.
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  #24  
Old October 7th, 2009, 11:49 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

What about transport? any news on that? I am planning to visit mumbai on 13th.. will need bus/ auto. and local trains? I will need to switch from western to central.
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Last edited by raniraja; October 7th, 2009 at 11:52 AM.
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  #25  
Old October 7th, 2009, 10:11 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Koi bhi jeete par Samajwadi party aur BSP koi seat nahi jeetni chahiyea.

Don't want UP dirty politics of caste/dalits in maharashtra.
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  #26  
Old October 8th, 2009, 01:30 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

The tally that I predict.

1> Kangress - 100
2> NCP - 60
3> ShivSena - 65
4> BJP - 50
5. Others - 5

There will be a massive victory for the Kangress - NCP alliance.

In Mumbai the BJP - SS will not win a single seat. The bhaiyyas and other anti Maharashtrians will be herded to the Kangress - NCP camp. The Marathi vote will be divided again for sure by Raj Thackraey. SS-BJP will lose a lot of seats in Thane as well.

The Kangress - NCP have unleashed Raj in Mumbai and Thane yet again.

The rural vote is ONLY based on caste and cash. Now the Kangress - NCP has only caste to offer and nothing else. But this is what is only required for victory in elections.

Sharad Pawar is a god to the Marathas so NCP secures at least 30% of Maratha votes. Kangress offers all castes to the rural folks.

This is what they offer the folks in Rural Maharashtra

Kangress List
1> Amit Deshmukh (Son of the earlier Maratha CM Vilasrao) - Maratha
2> Ashok Chavan - Maratha
3> Sushil Kumar Shinde - Dalit

This is the NCP list
1> Sharad Pawar - Maratha
2> Dilip Valse Patil - Maratha
3> R.R Patil - Maratha
4> Chaggan Bhujbal - Mali

All the above mentioned dignitaries are multi millionaires in terms of dollars. Each can easily offer to spend about 100-150 crores on each election. They have access to millions of litres of liquor and thousands of goons.

This time the Kangress - NCP are focusing ONLY on social issues (read caste) and will spend their massive cash reserves wisely and tactfully. Therefore success is guaranteed.

The SS-BJP alliance is only harping on the complete failure of the ruling alliance on delivering to the masses. They promise them good infrastructure and reduction in prices for essential edible commodities. But then this is useless to the people. What they need is caste satisfaction and free liquor.This only the kangress - NCP can gurantee.
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Last edited by viking; October 8th, 2009 at 01:35 AM.
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  #27  
Old October 8th, 2009, 01:40 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

maratha, dalit, mali aur kya kya
Sab kabadda kar diya hai India ka. Sala sirf ecnomic condition pe reservation milna chahiyea.
Yeh politicians ko sirf bolbacchan dalna ata hai.
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  #28  
Old October 8th, 2009, 07:52 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Quote:
Originally Posted by mammu View Post
maratha, dalit, mali aur kya kya
Sab kabadda kar diya hai India ka. Sala sirf ecnomic condition pe reservation milna chahiyea.
Yeh politicians ko sirf bolbacchan dalna ata hai.
No the Kangress people are wise. They know that ONLY caste matters.
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  #29  
Old October 8th, 2009, 06:09 PM
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Exclamation Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Updates on MNS ...

Quote:
9 lakh women won't vote Raj

Devadasi community withdraws support to MNS before Assembly elections after party chief fails to address their issues

In a big jolt to Raj Thackeray, nine lakh women from the Devadasi community have decided to withdraw their support to the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS).

The underprivileged women had assured Raj of their votes when he promised to look into their problems and work towards the welfare of the community.

In their letter (a copy of which is with MiD DAY) to the MNS chief, the women have said they have withdrawn their support, as their problems find no mention in any of his public rallies, meetings or press conferences.

"We liked Raj Thackeray's work and thought he was different from other political leaders. But we were wrong.

We met him in July, but since then he has neither thought about us nor has he spoken about our problems.

We have sent him a letter stating that we won't vote for him. We will also boycott the Assembly election if out problems are not heard and acted upon," said Latatai Sakat, president, Maharashtra Niradhar woman committee, an NGO that was approached by the Devadasi women's organisation to voice their demands.

Who are Devadasis?

Devadasis are women who are given away to a local temple and married off to deities. They often serve as sex workers for temple priests and local bigwigs.

It is an age-old religious practice which still continues in some parts of Maharashtra and south India. Most of them are uneducated and have no savings.

Demands of the community

> The Maharashtra government should provide a monthly income of Rs 2,000 to helpless, handicapped and widows
> There should be a pension scheme that will ensure regular flow of income
> The state government should have a rehabilitation programme for the Devadasis and provide them with a yellow ration card that offers subsidies on foodgrains
> The ration card should be issued after getting a copy of the Panchanama if their husband is dead

14
The number of MNS candidates who have criminal records, according to a study conducted in 31 constituencies in Mumbai and Thane

The Other Side
MNS activist Satish Narkar said, "The women had met Rajsaheb and discussed their issues with him.

They were promised that their issues will be looked at after MNS candidates win the election and come to power.

Nothing can be done for them without being in power." On allegations that the MNS did not speak about them at rallies, Narkar said, "I cannot say anything on this."

Lavani, tamasha for campaigning

Political parties hired Tamasha and Lavani artists to promote their candidates for the Assembly polls.

"There were at least 30 such performances in and around Pune," said Gafoorbhai Punekar, state president, Lok Kala Natya Chitra Kalakar Kalyan Mandal.

The performers sang songs praising the candidates. The Congress and NCP paid Rs 2,000 per show while the Independents and rebel candidates paid Rs 3,000.

Congress and NCP leaders refused to comment. Lavani is a popular Maharashtrian folk dance.

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  #30  
Old October 8th, 2009, 06:15 PM
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Post Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

And here comes MNS to the rescue of Congress and NCP combine! As if we did not know

Quote:
MNS inroads in Mumbai, Thane will damage Sena-BJP
DNA Correspondent Friday, October 9, 2009 3:30 IST

Mumbai: If there is one clear message coming through in the run-up to the Maharashtra assembly poll, it is this: Raj Thackeray's Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) is going to have the casting vote -- especially in the crucial urban areas of Mumbai, Pune and Thane, which account for a fourth of the total seats.

An urban voting intentions poll commissioned by DNA in the 12 Lok Sabha constituencies of Mumbai (6), Thane (3) and Pune (3) suggests that the Shiv Sena-BJP combine is only marginally ahead of the Congress-Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) alliance in Mumbai, and seriously lagging behind in Pune and Thane. Together, these 12 Lok Sabha constituencies account for 72 assembly seats in the 288-member state assembly. They could thus decide the fate of the next government.

There is a small anti-incumbency vote available, but the MNS factor has dented the advantage the Sena-BJP should have had in this regard. The survey shows a 5% swing away from the Congress-NCP compared to last time, but this is counterbalanced by a 7% swing away from the Sena-BJP -- both almost entirely accounted for by the MNS.

In short, the MNS has dented the Sena-BJP more than the Congress. The swing has been calculated by asking respondents how they voted last time, and how they intended to vote this time.

The survey, conducted over the last week by IMRS India, covered 2,400 respondents in all, half in Mumbai's six Lok Sabha constituencies, and the balance in Thane and Pune.

The results show that the Sena-BJP combine will get around 39% of the Mumbai vote against the Congress-NCP's 38%. With the MNS taking away a chunky 13%, it is quite clear that it will not only open its account in the state assembly, but also damage the
Sena-BJP's chances in urban Maharashtra. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), and the Republican Party-Samajwadi-Communist front will impact some constituencies, but not the basic trend.

In Mumbai, the Sena-BJP is clearly ahead in Mumbai South and Mumbai North, and marginally ahead in Mumbai North-West. The Congress-NCP is ahead in Mumbai North-Central and Mumbai South-Central, two areas where the MNS has made deep inroads.

In Mumbai North-East, where the Congress-NCP is marginally ahead with 38% of the vote (vs Sena-BJP's 34%), the spoiler is the BSP with 12% of the vote. The battle could thus go either way. If the BSP does better and the MNS not as well, the
Sena-BJP alliance could have a better chance here.

Translating votes into seats is always a tricky affair, especially in assembly constituencies where margins of victory tend to be small in closely-fought elections. But if vote shares indicated by the DNA-IMRS opinion poll hold on election day, and if seats are proportionate to vote share, the Congress-NCP and Sena-BJP will win around 13-14 seats each, with MNS taking five, and the rest the balance three.

In the last Lok Sabha elections in May, the Congress led in 23 assembly constituencies in Mumbai, the NCP in one, the Sena in two and the MNS is five. The huge difference
In Pune, which has three largely urban Lok Sabha constituencies (Pune, Maval and Baramati), the Congress-NCP combine is decisively ahead in all three with a clear two-thirds of the vote (64% to the Sena BJP's 24%). The MNS gets only 10% in these constituencies, but could make gains in Pune city. In the Pune constituencies, the NCP is the senior partner in the alliance, and hence will have to prove its mettle here. Else it could lose clout with the Congress.

It is in the urban areas of Thane that the MNS is making its largest gains, with a potential vote share of 16% (compared to Congress-NCP's 56% and Sena-BJP's 24%). In fact, while the Congress is the largest party in terms of voter preference by far, the Shiv Sena and NCP and MNS are running neck and neck with 18%, 18%, and 16% of voter preference. The MNS may spring a surprise in Kalyan, as it has emerged as the party with the largest vote share of 35%. It could thus make huge gains in seats here.

The low vote shares shown by parties other than the two combines and the MNS suggests that rebels may not be a major factor in this election. They will make a difference, however, in the final number of seats won by parties, since winning margins may tend to be thin.

In short, everything will depend on voter turnout and mobilisation by the parties. But as of now, the Congress-NCP looks set reap rewards in the urban areas.

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