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View Poll Results: Who will win Maharashtra State Assembly elections 2009?
Congress 2 8.70%
Congress + NCP 14 60.87%
BJP + Shiv Sena 7 30.43%
MNS + some independents 0 0%
MNS + NCP 0 0%
Voters: 23. You may not vote on this poll

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  #46  
Old October 20th, 2009, 08:28 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

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Originally Posted by viking View Post
The tally that I predict.

1> Kangress - 100
2> NCP - 60
3> ShivSena - 65
4> BJP - 50
5. Others - 5

There will be a massive victory for the Kangress - NCP alliance.

In Mumbai the BJP - SS will not win a single seat. The bhaiyyas and other anti Maharashtrians will be herded to the Kangress - NCP camp. The Marathi vote will be divided again for sure by Raj Thackraey. SS-BJP will lose a lot of seats in Thane as well.

The Kangress - NCP have unleashed Raj in Mumbai and Thane yet again.

The rural vote is ONLY based on caste and cash. Now the Kangress - NCP has only caste to offer and nothing else. But this is what is only required for victory in elections.

Sharad Pawar is a god to the Marathas so NCP secures at least 30% of Maratha votes. Kangress offers all castes to the rural folks.

This is what they offer the folks in Rural Maharashtra

Kangress List
1> Amit Deshmukh (Son of the earlier Maratha CM Vilasrao) - Maratha
2> Ashok Chavan - Maratha
3> Sushil Kumar Shinde - Dalit

This is the NCP list
1> Sharad Pawar - Maratha
2> Dilip Valse Patil - Maratha
3> R.R Patil - Maratha
4> Chaggan Bhujbal - Mali

All the above mentioned dignitaries are multi millionaires in terms of dollars. Each can easily offer to spend about 100-150 crores on each election. They have access to millions of litres of liquor and thousands of goons.

This time the Kangress - NCP are focusing ONLY on social issues (read caste) and will spend their massive cash reserves wisely and tactfully. Therefore success is guaranteed.

The SS-BJP alliance is only harping on the complete failure of the ruling alliance on delivering to the masses. They promise them good infrastructure and reduction in prices for essential edible commodities. But then this is useless to the people. What they need is caste satisfaction and free liquor.This only the kangress - NCP can gurantee.
Just revising my predictions before the actual results are out tomorrow.

1> Kangress - 100
2> NCP - 70
3> ShivSena - 55
4> BJP - 50
5> MNS - 4
6> Others - 9

Massive Kangress - NCP victory in the offing. To get a simple majority 144 seats are needed but in my opinion Kangress - NCP will get 170 seats.

The reasons :
- Maharashtra will vote on basis of caste only nothing else.
- The non-caste oriented educated vote will be divided by MNS
- The Kangress - NCP have spent money like they have never spent before.

I have a feeling that this would be the preference for CM's post in that order.

1> Ashok Chavan
2> Vilasrao Deshmukh
3> Sushil Kumar Shinde

These Kangress stalwarts have done nothing for Maharashtra but then Maharashtra never deserved anything. They are big time Sonia loyalists.
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Last edited by viking; October 20th, 2009 at 08:30 PM.
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  #47  
Old October 21st, 2009, 01:21 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Quote:
2> Vilasrao Deshmukh
3> Sushil Kumar Shinde
These 2 idiot hasmukhlal's should not be made CM again.
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  #48  
Old October 21st, 2009, 11:52 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

viking,

I am very much confident that your predictions will come true. I have been saying it that Sharad Pawar has played a really good game of getting Raj Thackrey into the mix to split Marathi manoos vote. Excellent political strategy.

I remember you were upset when Raj Thackrey caused vote splits in last Parliamentary elections. But I knew it before that it was Sharad Pawar all the way. Sharad Pawar tried with Bhujbal and did not get much success, then tried with Narayan Rane and did not get much success but his third strike - Raj Thackrey - has hit the bulls eye!!

Maharashtra deserves Congress party because people of Maharashtra do not want infrastructure or stop suicide deaths of poor farmers. They want to ensure that their caste and subcaste gets government handouts. So be it!

The educated and upper middle class definitely went for a nice week long vacation and did not bother to vote. So they should shut up and not say a word.

Infact I am so happy if Congress wins because then the so called 'elite' and 'intelligentsia' who file petitions like 'Dont build Shivaji Statue' will get a resounding kick on their ass. I am pretty sure that even Vishal Dadlani and Shekhar did not go for voting or atleast 50% of their film fraternity did not care to vote.

So fun, it will be nice to have Congress back in power. It will be nice to have R.R. Patil back in power and shutting down bars and extending the ban on dance bars. This will give rise to more prostitution and lots of illegal activities. Congress workers can then go and enjoy with the bar girls who are now forced into prostitution. Police will have an extended source of income.

All will be nice and well! Jai Ho!! Jai Ho!!

And yes, once and for all, that stupid Uddhav Thackrey will learn that being son of Balasaheb and being Balasaheb are very different things. Raj will continue his nuisance value by winning a few more seats next time around. Then Sharad Pawar will search for some other candidate to break up MNS votes.

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  #49  
Old October 21st, 2009, 09:26 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

The Kangress-NCP leads. However it's not a major disaster for SS-BJP yet. They will lose but respectably. Shiv Sena holds fort at least it was not a political sunami for them. Some consolation.
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  #50  
Old October 21st, 2009, 09:35 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Its almost even-stevans at the moment..only 5-10 seats difference between UPA and NDA. MNS ahead in 2 seats and third front also getting 5-6 seats...
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  #51  
Old October 21st, 2009, 09:39 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

SS-BJP depends heavily on the Marathi and Gujarati votes. If these two communities have voted heavily for SS-BJP in Mumbai then there is a fighting chance.

The bhaiyyas have definately voted Kangress - NCP
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  #52  
Old October 21st, 2009, 09:41 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Quote:
Originally Posted by viking View Post
SS-BJP depends heavily on the Marathi and Gujarati votes. If these two communities have voted heavily for SS-BJP in Mumbai then there is a fighting chance.

The bhaiyyas have definately voted Kangress - NCP

Will the heavy % of voting help them? its almost 65%+
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  #53  
Old October 21st, 2009, 09:47 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

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Originally Posted by aragorn View Post
Will the heavy % of voting help them? its almost 65%+
That Raj guy has screwed the Marathi votes. Narendra modi did not campaign extensively in Mumbai. Do not know if the Gujjus came out in large numbers to vote. The Bhaiyyas have turned out in big numbers. Consolidated Ghati-Gujju votes were SS-BJP's only hope.

Muslims+Christian+Bhaiyya+Split Marathi votes = Kangress-NCP victory.
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  #54  
Old October 21st, 2009, 10:12 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Even MNS opened its account with 5 seats until now.
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  #55  
Old October 21st, 2009, 10:39 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

as of now...Conf+ 131, BJP+ 101, MNS 12, Third front 13
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  #56  
Old October 21st, 2009, 10:57 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

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Originally Posted by viking View Post
The bhaiyyas have definately voted Kangress - NCP
Why are Bhaiyyas voting for Congress-NCP?Do you know?
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  #57  
Old October 21st, 2009, 10:59 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

Quote:
Originally Posted by viking View Post
That Raj guy has screwed the Marathi votes. Narendra modi did not campaign extensively in Mumbai. Do not know if the Gujjus came out in large numbers to vote. The Bhaiyyas have turned out in big numbers. Consolidated Ghati-Gujju votes were SS-BJP's only hope.

Muslims+Christian+Bhaiyya+Split Marathi votes = Kangress-NCP victory.
It is the most funny thing.Congress keep winning and we all act as apologists as why it won.

Why don't we accept that may be people of Maharashtra are very happy with Congress . Except for 5 years they have selected it for last 50 years.SO they may be quite happy with congress. Lets accept this.
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  #58  
Old October 21st, 2009, 11:29 PM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

BTW Kudos to Congress Leaders of Maharshtra. By any hook or crook they have performed much better than Bhupinder Hooda of Haryana who was supposed to be a star performer.

So lets accept it that Congressi leaders of Maharshtra have some talent and people of Maharshtra are indeed happy with Congress.

Again 4 years Farmers will commit suicide and the 5th year all the Loans will be waivered off. So the cycle will continue
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  #59  
Old October 22nd, 2009, 02:05 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

an obvious question..

is this the end of BJP?
if no, then show me the light....

3-0 in assembly elections...afterall all that price-rise..terrorism...farmer-deaths and what not...
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  #60  
Old October 22nd, 2009, 03:02 AM
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Re: Who will win the maharashtra assembly elections

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Originally Posted by sprite View Post
an obvious question..
is this the end of BJP?
if no, then show me the light....
3-0 in assembly elections...afterall all that price-rise..terrorism...farmer-deaths and what not...
No the same issues were there entire 1970s and 1980s and BJP was just 2 seats. It will rebound back once Indians and particularly Hindus are sick of secularism and freebies like they did in 1990s
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